Economy

From interest rates to inflation, understand the impact of macroeconomic trends on the real estate capital markets.

The Beyond Insights series aims to deliver timely economic and market-driven insights to better inform your commercial real estate investment decisions.

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U.S. ECONOMIC MACRO COMMENTARY & INSIGHTS

A Dual Mandate Double Feature

FEbruary 13, 2026
  • January Nonfarm Payrolls beat expectations, driven by healthcare jobs
  • January headline CPI cools, but core increases month over month
  • Traders increase projections for a third rate cut in 2026
 

The job of the Federal Reserve is straightforward: keep the U.S. economy on solid footing with good growth. Through the Federal Open Market Committee, the Fed sets monetary policy with two goals in mind – maximum employment and stable prices – commonly known as its “dual mandate.” This week’s economic prints exhibited a dual mandate double feature of critical labor market and pricing indicators – Nonfarm Payrolls and Unemployment were released on Wednesday, and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figure was released on Friday.

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historical cpi & core cpi

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Quarterly Market Update Website SFR BTR

Quarterly market update

The Beyond Insights Quarterly Market Update that most major U.S. housing markets are undersupplied due to population growth, affecting the balance between housing supply and demand.

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Insights

Moderate Jobs Growth Beats Estimates, but Downward Revisions Signal Labor Market Weakness

The May Nonfarm Payrolls and Unemployment prints were released on Friday morning—U.S. job growth moderated in May, and the prior months were revised lower. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 139,000, beating market expectations of 126,000, and the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2%. The payrolls figure was dual sided: the figure driven by strength at service…

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Insights

Agency CMBS Spreads Tighten to Pre-Liberation Day Levels

Agency Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS) spreads have tightened significantly in May, following early April widening. Strong demand for Agency CMBS paper has driven spreads to tighten to pre-Liberation Day levels across tenors. The supply of new-issue Agency CMBS has been light so far in the month of May, averaging less than half the $1.5 billion…

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Insights

Agency CMBS Spreads Find Stability in Turbulent Bond Market

Agency CMBS spreads have found stability in the market following early April widening. Strong demand for Agency CMBS paper has driven spreads to tighten ~5bps across tenors this week and deals with full-term interest only structures are trading even tighter. Supply of new issue Agency CMBS has been light over the past two weeks, averaging less…

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