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U.S. ECONOMIC MACRO COMMENTARY & INSIGHTS

The State of Borrowing Costs: Higher Rates, Tighter Spreads

August 28, 2026
  • Agency CMBS spreads have maintained a holding pattern for nearly 7 months
  • Inflation continues to linger above the Fed’s stated 2% goal
  • U.S. Treasury makes a play to drive interest rates tighter

There has been a lot of ink spilled recently about Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s announcement that the Treasury Department will increase its buybacks of longer-dated securities. But let’s not conflate the Treasury and the Fed. The Treasury’s job is to finance the government. The Fed’s job is to maintain price stability and employment. For years, investors have looked to the Fed when policymakers wanted to influence financial conditions or borrowing costs. Treasury’s recent actions don’t carry the same firepower.

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Trading Spreads Hold Tight

Source: Berkadia *Freddie Mac yet to report August totals*

2026 Multifamily Investor Sentiment Survey

In December 2025, we surveyed over 250 of our trusted clients from various companies, with most holding senior-level titles, for our second annual Multifamily Investor Sentiment Survey. Our goal is to provide a comprehensive view of current market sentiments to our clients, and we plan to share our findings in our detailed report.

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2026 Multifamily
Powerhouse Poll

In Berkadia’s Annual Multifamily Powerhouse Poll, we surveyed over 200 investment sales advisors and mortgage bankers to offer their unique perspectives on the state of the commercial real estate (CRE) industry.

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The State of Borrowing Costs: Higher Rates, Tighter Spreads

Why Agency borrowers have been helped more by spread compression than Treasury policy There has been a lot of ink spilled recently about Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s announcement that the Treasury Department will increase its buybacks of longer-dated securities. But let’s not conflate the Treasury and the Fed. The Treasury’s job is to finance the…

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