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From interest rates to inflation, understand the impact of macroeconomic trends on the real estate capital markets.

The Beyond Insights series aims to deliver timely economic and market-driven insights to better inform your commercial real estate investment decisions.

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U.S. ECONOMIC MACRO COMMENTARY & INSIGHTS

The Fed Paused, but Borrowing Costs Remain Elevated

October 30, 2026
  • The Fed held rates steady, but longer-term Treasury yields remain elevated as the curve steepens. 
  • Freddie Mac 10-year A2 spreads have widened 11 basis points from their June lows, removing some of the cushion that had helped offset higher Treasury yields.
  • For CRE borrowers, a Fed pause does not necessarily translate into lower all-in borrowing costs.

The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at 3.75% to 4.00% this week, as widely expected. But borrowing costs didn’t follow. Long-term Treasury yields remain elevated, even after rallying off their recent highs, while agency spreads have moved wider. For commercial real estate, an unchanged Fed has not translated into cheaper financing.

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10-Year Treasury Yield

Source: Bloomberg

2026 Mid-Year Multifamily Pulse Survey

We surveyed more than 100 of our trusted clients across various companies for our second-annual Mid-Year Multifamily Pulse Survey with the goal of providing a comprehensive view of current market sentiment.

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2026 Multifamily Investor Sentiment Survey

In December 2025, we surveyed over 250 of our trusted clients from various companies, with most holding senior-level titles, for our second annual Multifamily Investor Sentiment Survey. Our goal is to provide a comprehensive view of current market sentiments to our clients, and we plan to share our findings in our detailed report.

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Insights

The Fed Paused, but Borrowing Costs Remain Elevated

The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at 3.75% to 4.00% this week, as widely expected. But borrowing costs didn’t follow. Long-term Treasury yields remain elevated, even after rallying off their recent highs, while agency spreads have moved wider. For commercial real estate, an unchanged Fed has not translated into cheaper financing. The Committee’s…

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Insights

Forget Neutral. Are Financial Conditions Actually Restrictive?

The Fed raised rates in September, but the more consequential message may be that Warsh is less interested in where policy sits relative to neutral than in whether financial conditions are actually doing the job. Markets came into September focused on whether the Fed would raise rates. By the end of the press conference, a…

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Insights

The State of Borrowing Costs: Higher Rates, Tighter Spreads

Why Agency borrowers have been helped more by spread compression than Treasury policy There has been a lot of ink spilled recently about Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s announcement that the Treasury Department will increase its buybacks of longer-dated securities. But let’s not conflate the Treasury and the Fed. The Treasury’s job is to finance the…

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