Economy
From interest rates to inflation, understand the impact of macroeconomic trends on the real estate capital markets.
The Beyond Insights series aims to deliver timely economic and market-driven insights to better inform your commercial real estate investment decisions.
Markets
From local market rents to cap rates, catch up on the latest capital markets insights.
Learn moreU.S. ECONOMIC MACRO COMMENTARY & INSIGHTS
The Missing Dot
- The Federal Reserve held rates steady, but the June meeting delivered a meaningfully more hawkish signal than markets expected.
- Updated projections showed higher inflation, slower growth, and a committee increasingly open to the idea of a 25 bp hike by year end.
- The Fed also signaled a shift away from forward guidance, giving markets less of a roadmap and placing greater emphasis on incoming data.
Everyone will focus on the missing dot. The market sold off because of the nine that remained. Half the committee is now willing to discuss another rate hike this year, and that is a very different conversation than the one markets were having just a few months ago. Inflation forecasts moved higher, growth forecasts moved lower, and the Fed made clear that inflation remains the bigger concern.
6.17.2026 FOMC DOT PLOT
2026 Multifamily Investor Sentiment Survey
In December 2025, we surveyed over 250 of our trusted clients from various companies, with most holding senior-level titles, for our second annual Multifamily Investor Sentiment Survey. Our goal is to provide a comprehensive view of current market sentiments to our clients, and we plan to share our findings in our detailed report.
2026 Multifamily
Powerhouse Poll
In Berkadia’s Annual Multifamily Powerhouse Poll, we surveyed over 200 investment sales advisors and mortgage bankers to offer their unique perspectives on the state of the commercial real estate (CRE) industry.
Between a Rock and a Hard Place
The Federal Reserve is in desperate need of a timeout. Just five weeks ago, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) was content with the state of the U.S. economy. Fed officials believed current rates were at appropriate levels to promote progress on the Fed’s dual mandate. Jerome Powell was running out the clock on his…
A Dual Mandate Double Feature
The job of the Federal Reserve is straightforward: keep the U.S. economy on solid footing with good growth. Through the Federal Open Market Committee, the Fed sets monetary policy with two goals in mind – maximum employment and stable prices – commonly known as its “dual mandate.” This week’s economic prints exhibited a dual mandate…
Powell Holds Rates Steady, Trump Nominates Replacement Chair
Recent headlines surrounding the Federal Reserve have varied. On the monetary policy front, macroeconomic conditions appear solid, with tariff-driven inflation concerns largely overstated and unemployment holding steady. Away from economic fundamentals, Chair Powell continues to face political pressure as his term as Fed Chair nears its conclusion. The Federal Reserve held its first meeting of…