Economy
From interest rates to inflation, understand the impact of macroeconomic trends on the real estate capital markets.
The Beyond Insights series aims to deliver timely economic and market-driven insights to better inform your commercial real estate investment decisions.
Markets
From local market rents to cap rates, catch up on the latest capital markets insights.
Learn moreU.S. ECONOMIC MACRO COMMENTARY & INSIGHTS
The Missing Dot
- The Federal Reserve held rates steady, but the June meeting delivered a meaningfully more hawkish signal than markets expected.
- Updated projections showed higher inflation, slower growth, and a committee increasingly open to the idea of a 25 bp hike by year end.
- The Fed also signaled a shift away from forward guidance, giving markets less of a roadmap and placing greater emphasis on incoming data.
Everyone will focus on the missing dot. The market sold off because of the nine that remained. Half the committee is now willing to discuss another rate hike this year, and that is a very different conversation than the one markets were having just a few months ago. Inflation forecasts moved higher, growth forecasts moved lower, and the Fed made clear that inflation remains the bigger concern.
6.17.2026 FOMC DOT PLOT
2026 Multifamily Investor Sentiment Survey
In December 2025, we surveyed over 250 of our trusted clients from various companies, with most holding senior-level titles, for our second annual Multifamily Investor Sentiment Survey. Our goal is to provide a comprehensive view of current market sentiments to our clients, and we plan to share our findings in our detailed report.
2026 Multifamily
Powerhouse Poll
In Berkadia’s Annual Multifamily Powerhouse Poll, we surveyed over 200 investment sales advisors and mortgage bankers to offer their unique perspectives on the state of the commercial real estate (CRE) industry.
The State of the Union in Agency CMBS
Commercial real estate capital markets, particularly in the multifamily space, are taking the “new year, new me” mantra very seriously. Liquidity is bountiful in the space; trading spreads have tightened significantly; and a regime change is on the horizon at the Federal Reserve. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) increased agency multifamily loan purchase caps…
December FOMC Meeting Notes
The Federal Reserve held its final meeting of the year on Wednesday. Committee members voted 9-3 to cut the benchmark rate by 25 basis points to a 3.50%–3.75% range. The move was the third consecutive rate cut from the Fed, and overnight rates are now 175 basis points lower than their peak of the cycle.…
Medicaid Joins the Shift: States Transition to PDPM Reimbursement Models
Medicare transitions from RUG to PDPM: In 2019, Medicare replaced the Resource Utilization Group (RUG-IV) system with the Patient-Driven Payment Model (PDPM), marking a major shift in how skilled nursing facilities (SNFs) are reimbursed. Under RUG-IV, payments were tied to therapy minutes, often incentivizing volume over patient needs. PDPM introduced a case-mix classification model that links…