Economy

From interest rates to inflation, understand the impact of macroeconomic trends on the real estate capital markets.

The Beyond Insights series aims to deliver timely economic and market-driven insights to better inform your commercial real estate investment decisions.

Markets

From local market rents to cap rates, catch up on the latest capital markets insights.

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U.S. ECONOMIC MACRO COMMENTARY & INSIGHTS

Inflation’s Second Act

May 15, 2026
  • April CPI print rattled the market as oil prices continue to climb 
  • Traders increasingly question whether the Federal Reserve will be able to ease monetary policy at all this year 
  • Treasury rates continue to climb, curbing Agency CMBS volumes 

For a steady three years, besides a blip surrounding the Liberation Day tariff announcements, markets operated under the assumption that inflation was steadily moving back toward the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. April’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report was the second straight data point that challenged the narrative. 

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Historical CPI & Core CPI

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

2026 Multifamily Investor Sentiment Survey

In December 2025, we surveyed over 250 of our trusted clients from various companies, with most holding senior-level titles, for our second annual Multifamily Investor Sentiment Survey. Our goal is to provide a comprehensive view of current market sentiments to our clients, and we plan to share our findings in our detailed report.

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2026 Multifamily
Powerhouse Poll

In Berkadia’s Annual Multifamily Powerhouse Poll, we surveyed over 200 investment sales advisors and mortgage bankers to offer their unique perspectives on the state of the commercial real estate (CRE) industry.

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Insights

Medicaid Joins the Shift: States Transition to PDPM Reimbursement Models 

Medicare transitions from RUG to PDPM:  In 2019, Medicare replaced the Resource Utilization Group (RUG-IV) system with the Patient-Driven Payment Model (PDPM), marking a major shift in how skilled nursing facilities (SNFs) are reimbursed. Under RUG-IV, payments were tied to therapy minutes, often incentivizing volume over patient needs.   PDPM introduced a case-mix classification model that links…

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Insights

FHFA Increases Multifamily Loan Purchase Caps and Continues to Focus on Mission-Driven Housing in 2026

Today, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) announced the 2026 multifamily loan purchase caps for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will increase to $88 billion each for a total of $176 billion, up from $146 billion this year. Both Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae remain focused on mission-driven housing with an eye toward affordability, access,…

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Insights

U.S. Government Shutdown Ends – Future of Monetary Policy Still Murky

On Thursday, President Donald Trump signed legislation to re-open the U.S. government after a 43-day shutdown, the longest in our nation’s history. The shutdown caused a real impact on the U.S. economy—the Congressional Budget Office projected that the shutdown would lower real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in the current quarter by 1.5 percentage points,…

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